AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles — Tips & Analysis

AZ Alkmaar -1.25: When AZ win, they win big. All 7 of their wins in this run came by 2 goals or more, and there is not a single one goal win among them. That is why we are happy to ask them to win by a clear margin. AZ are the form team in the country. They have won 7 and lost only 1 of their last 13. They top the league with nine points from three games, and they beat PSV 4-0 in the Super Cup. They score more than 2 goals a game and let in 1 goal a game. Over their last three matches they have made a stack of chances and given up almost nothing. GO Ahead Eagles are a good team, but they are a different one on the road. Away from home they have won once, tied three and lost two. They score 1 goal a game on their travels, against 3 a game at their own ground. They also travel without Nauber, Saathof and Weijenberg. AZ have won 11 of the last 17 meetings between the two. A 2-0 AZ win is the most likely finish, and it does the job here. The warning is the other half of that big win habit. AZ have tied 5 of their last 13, and the last two games with GO Ahead ended 0-0 and 2-2. We still expect AZ to have far too much.