Tenerife vs Sporting Gijon — Tips & Analysis

Sporting Gijon +0.5: Sporting Gijon come into this playing well, and that is the reason to take them. They have won four of their last five games. Across the last 15 they have won 7, tied 2 and lost 6, scoring more than a goal a game and letting in just over one. Tenerife's record looks strong, but it needs context. Eight of their last 14 games were third tier games, so the low number of goals they let in came against weaker teams. They also beat Almeria against the run of play. The head to head is dead level. In 16 meetings Tenerife have won 6, tied 4 and lost 6, and those games have averaged just over 2 goals. Games that tight turn on one moment, and Gijon only need one. Here is the honest part. The most likely single score is a 1-0 Tenerife win, which does not do the job, so Gijon have to avoid defeat. There are two real worries. Gijon are without Andres Ferrari, Mamadou Loum, Hugo Guillamon and Gaspar Campos, which is a lot of first team missing. Their road record is poor too, two wins in seven away games, and Tenerife have not lost at home. This is a close call. We are still with Gijon to come away from here with something.