Drogheda United vs Dundalk — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: The Louth derby is a grind, and neither of these teams looks ready to change that. The last 18 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals a game, and three of the last five finished 1-1 or 0-0. Drogheda have tied three of their last four league games, two of them goalless, against Shamrock Rovers and at Galway United. At home they have won 3, tied 4 and lost 2, letting in just over a goal a game. That is better than their overall record. They are not making many chances either. Dundalk look busier on paper, but that is misleading. Their scoring average is lifted by an 8-0 cup win over junior side Castlebar Celtic on 15 August. In the league they have taken two points from their last five games. They sit fourth, and that place flatters them. So we have a home side who cannot create and an away side who have stopped scoring, in a game that has always been low on goals. A 1-1 is the most likely score, and a night like that is exactly what we are backing. The risk is one early goal changing how both teams play. Drogheda's run of ties also hides how many chances they give up, so goals against them would be no shock. We still want the quiet game here.