Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Plzen have to chase this game from the first minute, and that is what makes goals likely. They lost the first leg 3-0 in Belgrade, so sitting deep and keeping it tight is no use to them. Their defence is in no shape for that job either. Recent games include a 5-5 at Teplice, a 3-2 with Zlin, a 1-3 loss to Slovan Liberec and that 0-3 in Serbia. Plzen's games have just over 3 goals in them on average, and 8 of their last 15 had 3 or more. Crvena Zvezda are built to punish an open game. They score more than 2 goals a game, they have won 7 of their last 13, and 9 of those 13 games had 3 or more goals. They rested key players in a 4-0 win four days ago, so Arnautović, Ivanić and Bukari arrive fresh. Plzen have also changed coach, with Radoslav Kováč in charge for the first time. New managers bring energy and mistakes in equal measure. The likely finish is Plzen 1, Crvena Zvezda 2. We want a fourth goal on top of that, and Plzen have been giving up goals in bunches. The risk is a Zvezda side happy to sit deep and protect their big lead. If they do that, this can die out at 1-0 or 0-1. We still want the goals.