Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden — Tips & Analysis

Omonia Nicosia -0.25: Omonia have not lost at home all season, and that is the reason we are with them. They have won 7 and tied 1 in eight home games at the GSP Stadium, scoring more than 2 goals a game and letting in well under one. They have been strong all round. Omonia have won 11 and lost only 2 of their last 16 games. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of those 16, and they have not lost by 2 or more once. St. Truiden are a different team away from their own ground. Their road record is 1 win, 2 ties and 2 defeats, and they let in almost 2 goals a game on it. They have also been riding their luck at the back, giving up more good chances than they have made. Omonia trail by a goal after losing 1-0 in the first leg, so they will come out fast and push from the first whistle. A 2-0 home win is the most likely finish, and that is plenty for our side. The catch is that chasing the game leaves gaps. Ryan Merlen has 2 goals and 2 assists in his last four games and can punish a stretched home defence. We still think Omonia have too much here.