Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tips & Analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë +1.25: Lillestrom do not beat teams by much, and that is the heart of this pick. They have won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 17 games, and they have lost by 2 or more just as often. Their form is poor as well. Three league defeats in a row came before two ties, and they score just over a goal a game and let in the same. At home they are more open, scoring almost 2 goals a game and letting in more than one, with no ties in eight home games. Egnatia already have proof they can live with this. They held Lillestrom to 0-0 in Albania in the first leg, and they have won 7 and tied 5 of their last 19 games. They score almost 2 goals a game. That 0-0 also means both sides have to go and win this one, which points to an open, stretched night rather than a quiet one. A 2-1 Lillestrom win is the most likely finish, and that keeps things close enough for our side. The warning is real. Egnatia are a weaker team on the road, with 2 wins, 3 ties and 5 defeats away, and they let in almost 2 goals a game there. They are also without suspended left back Edison Ndreca. We still expect them to stay within a goal.