Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova — Tips & Analysis

Ararat-Armenia +0.5: Ararat-Armenia are very hard to beat in Yerevan, and that is the whole case for backing them tonight. They have won eight of their ten home games this season, letting in under a goal a game there and scoring almost 2. Across their last 18 games they have won 11 and lost only 4, and they have lost by 2 or more just twice. Universitatea Craiova are a solid side, but they are a careful one on the road. They have tied five of their eight away games and they score less than a goal a game away from home. The first leg in Craiova finished 1-1, so the tie is level and one moment decides who goes through. Expect Craiova to sit in, keep the game slow, and try to take it late. That points to a tight, nervy night where Ararat-Armenia keep pushing and eventually find a way through. Our read is 1-0 to the home side. There are two honest worries. Craiova have lost just 3 of their last 18 games, so they are more than capable of taking something here. Ararat-Armenia have Conference League football locked up whatever happens, and this is not their regular ground in the city. We still trust them not to lose this one at home.