Bradford vs Burnley — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Both of these teams are set up for a quiet night, and that is why we want the low scoring game here. Bradford have won their last three games, all with clean sheets, and their games have had 2 goals in them on average. Ten of their last 14 finished with fewer than 3 goals, and at Valley Parade they let in under a goal a game. Burnley are the bigger name, but they have not been scoring. They have not won any of their last 14 games and they score under a goal a game. They only got past Notts County on penalties in the last round after a 1-1. Burnley also come in on three days' rest, against a Bradford side who have had six. A rotated team on tired legs is not going to blow this open. A 1-1 after 90 minutes looks the most likely finish, and that keeps the goal count right where we want it. The honest worry is that Burnley's own games have not been quiet. Seven of their last 14 had 3 or more goals and they let in just over 2 a game. Most of that damage came in the Premier League, against far better teams than Bradford. We still want the tight, low scoring game.