Stevenage vs Reading — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Neither of these teams scores much, and that is the simple case here. Stevenage score under a goal a game, and their games average almost 2 goals in total. Only 4 of their last 16 games had three or more goals in them. The Lamex is the bigger point. Stevenage have let in well under a goal a game across their last eight home games, and they won five of them. Reading are just as quiet on the road. They score under a goal a game away from home and have tied four of their last seven away games. Their last five results are three ties and two losses. The history says the same. The last nine meetings between these two have averaged under 2 goals. Both sides are expected to make changes, and Stevenage lose Jasper Pattenden, hurt in Saturday's 1-2 home loss to Oxford United. A 1-0 Stevenage win is the read, and a single goal keeps this pick well clear. A level game after 90 minutes goes straight to penalties, so there is no extra time for late goals. The warning is that Reading can go the other way. Their own games average more than 2 goals, and they lost 3-4 at home to Luton on 15 August, so they can get pulled into a shootout. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.