Plymouth vs Coventry — Tips & Analysis

Plymouth +1: Plymouth do not get taken apart, and that is what this pick rests on. They have lost by 2 or more goals just once in their last 14 games, and they have won eight of those 14. Home Park is an awkward night out for anyone. Argyle score 2 goals a game, and 10 of their last 14 games had three or more goals in them. Coventry are clearly the better team. They have won 11 of their last 17 games, and away from home they have five wins from eight and let in well under a goal a game. Coventry also lose Haji Wright for up to three months, and they are expected to change several players after the opening loss at Arsenal. That is where Plymouth's chance lives. A 1-2 Coventry win is the honest read, and a one goal Coventry win does this pick no harm. What we cannot have is Coventry pulling clear, and that danger is real. They have won by 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 17 games. Plymouth were also beaten 1-3 at Home Park by Stockport County on 15 August. Plymouth have injuries too, with Owen Oseni out for around a month. We are still happy to back Plymouth to stay close.