Nottingham Forest vs Leeds — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two met at the City Ground only three days ago, and Leeds won it 1-0 with a late goal. Neither side made many clear chances that night. That is normal for this game. The last 20 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals in total, and only 3 in every 10 have had 3 or more goals. Forest have been tight at home. They have scored just over a goal a game there and let in under a goal a game, and 3 of their 7 home games ended level. Glasner is expected to change most of his team for this cup tie, with Savona and Yates hurt and Diomande in line for a debut. Leeds have the better season record, 8 wins, 5 ties and 4 losses in their last 17, and they let in 1 goal a game. They will rest players too, so both sides put out something close to a second team. Two rearranged teams with 3 days in their legs are not built to trade goals. A 1-1 after 90 minutes looks the likeliest finish, with penalties deciding who goes through. Here is the honest worry. No lineup is confirmed, and a heavily changed team can be sloppy and let the game get loose early. We still want the quiet, low scoring night.