Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Fleetwood have turned every game into a slow, tight one, and that is the heart of this pick. Ten of their 13 games have finished with fewer than three goals, and their games average almost 2 goals in total. Their last three tell the same story. A 0-0 with Gillingham, then two 1-0 wins over Chesterfield, which is two goals scored and none let in. Shrewsbury will not open this up either. They score under a goal a game on the road and have won one of their last eight away games. They have not won any of their last five league games, and they were beaten 1-3 at home by Barnet on Saturday. Fleetwood are missing three midfielders, so they may keep things even simpler than usual. A 1-0 Fleetwood win is how this looks, and one goal keeps this pick clear. A level game after 90 minutes goes straight to penalties, so there is no extra time for late goals. The honest warning is the head to head. More than half of the last 20 meetings between these two had three or more goals, and they tied 2-2 at Shrewsbury in April. Fleetwood have also been making more chances than their goals show, so a busier night is possible. We still want the quiet game.