Cambridge United vs Millwall — Tips & Analysis

Millwall -0.25: Millwall's away form is the reason we are on them. They have not lost in eight games on the road, and they let in under a goal a game away from home. They arrive in their best run of the season too, beating Norwich 3-0 and winning 2-0 at Bristol City, so goals are coming as well as clean sheets. Cambridge make this hard. Neil Harris has them unbeaten since promotion, with a 3-2 win over Wigan, a 1-1 tie at Bromley and a 2-1 win over Barnet in the first round. They have won six of their eight home games and let in under a goal a game, so the Abbey is not an easy night for anybody. The catch is where that record was built. Most of it came in League Two, and Millwall are a strong Championship side who have lost only 3 of their last 14 games. This looks tight and low on chances, the sort of game one goal wins. We make it 0-1 to Millwall, and that result does the job for our pick of the game. Be ready for a long night, though. Five of Millwall's eight away games finished level, so they tie plenty on the road. Harris also knows this club inside out, and Millwall will rest players in the middle of a league season. Millwall are still the side we want.