Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen — Tips & Analysis

Bodo/Glimt -1: NEC have to chase this tie, and that is exactly how Bodo/Glimt like it. The Norwegians won the first leg 3-1 in Nijmegen on 19 August, so the visitors need at least two goals here and cannot sit in. Bodo are close to unbeatable at Aspmyra. They have won eight of their ten home games, scoring almost 3 goals a game there and letting in under a goal. Across all games they have won by 2 or more in 10 of their last 18, and they have not lost by 2 or more once. NEC are the weaker side and they are short handed. Five players are out, including A. Kaplan, K. Ogawa and P. Schuurs, with two more doubtful. They have won 4, tied 4 and lost 4 of their last 12, and they let in more than a goal a game. NEC have been making chances lately, so they should score at some point. A 3-1 to Bodo, with the visitors caught on the break, is the likeliest way this goes, and that is a winning night for us. The one worry is that Bodo are two goals up on the tie and can afford to slow it down. They are also without H. Evjen and A. Mikkelsen, with four more doubtful. We still expect them to win this by a couple.