Birmingham vs Brentford — Tips & Analysis

Birmingham +0.75: Birmingham hardly ever get beaten badly, and that is the heart of this one. They have lost by 2 or more in just 1 of their last 15 games. They are unbeaten in five as well, and 4W-2D-2L on their own ground, where they let in about a goal a game. Brentford are the better team, but they are not a side that wins big. They have won by 2 or more in only 2 of their last 18 games, and nine of those eighteen finished level. Keith Andrews is expected to freshen up the team that beat Tottenham 3-0, and Chris Davies has plenty of players pushing for a start too. That turns this into a game between two second choice sides, not a Premier League club against a Championship one. Birmingham's games are quiet as well, averaging 2 goals in total. A 1-1 that stays level to the whistle fits both teams, and a tight game is a winning night for this pick. The risk is plain. Brentford have lost only three of eighteen and put three past Tottenham three days ago. If Andrews keeps enough of that side on the pitch, they have the players to win this by 2. We are still with Birmingham and the head start.