Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna — Tips & Analysis

Deportivo La Coruna +0.25: Deportivo are the steadier team here, and that is why we want them. They have lost just once in their last 13 games, and they have not lost by 2 or more goals in any of them. On the road they are unbeaten in five, letting in well under a goal a game. Malaga are not in poor shape either. They have won 7 of their last 15 and score almost 2 goals a game. The problem is who is missing. Calero, Juanpe, Murillo, Nino and Ochoa are all ruled out, so that is five first team players gone from one squad. At La Rosaleda they have been quiet: just over a goal a game scored and a goal a game let in across six home games. These two also know each other well. The last four meetings finished 1-1, 3-0, 1-1 and 0-0, and only one of those was a comfortable win for anyone. A 1-1 tie looks the likely result again, and Deportivo avoiding defeat is what this bet is built on. The honest warning is the level. Both clubs came up from the second tier in June, so these numbers were built against weaker teams. Deportivo are short of bodies too, with Carrillo out and Mella and Villares doubtful. We still side with Deportivo to take something from this.