GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia — Tips & Analysis

Over 2: Gil Vicente's games tend to have goals in them. 12 of their last 16 had 3 or more, and their games average almost 3 goals in total. That is the starting point here. Gil Vicente are also fresh. Their Braga game was called off, so they come in with 15 days rest, and they have won five of their nine home games. They score more than a goal a game and should own the ball and the territory for long spells. Casa Pia are in a bad way. They sit bottom of the table with no points, no goals in two games and eight let in, including a 0-7 at home to Benfica. They barely score away from home. Domingos Bandeira was sent off against Benfica and Khaly is suspended, so the back line is patched up again. A side that creates almost nothing and gets opened up easily is a good match for a home team that keeps scoring. The likely score is 2-0 to Gil Vicente. That does not quite get this home on its own, so we need a third goal from either side. The warning is the history between them. Their nine meetings have averaged under 2 goals, with 0-0, 1-1 and 1-1 among the recent ones. Casa Pia have tied six of their last seventeen games and stay within a goal of the opponent about 7 times in 10. We still want the busier game.