West Brom vs Burnley — Tips & Analysis

Burnley +-0: Burnley's record looks awful, and it is misleading. Those 14 games were almost all Premier League football, against Arsenal, Manchester City, Aston Villa, Brighton and Nottingham Forest. This is the Championship now, and Burnley are a much stronger side than that run suggests. West Brom have won 6, tied 7 and lost 3 of their last 16 games, and they let in less than a goal a game. They also tie a lot at their own ground, 5 of their 8 games there, and they score just over a goal a game at home. Their opening win at Norwich flattered them. Norwich made the better chances, and the goal that won it came off Aune Heggebo's hand. He now serves a two match ban for it, so West Brom lose their matchwinner. Burnley have their own problems. Ashley Barnes, Enock Agyei, Jaydon Banel, Josh Cullen and Jordan Beyer are all out, and Connor Roberts is a major doubt. Even so, they tied 6 of those 14 games, so they are hard to beat. Here is the catch. A 1-1 is the likeliest single score, but we think Burnley are the stronger side and back them to take the game. 7 of the last 12 meetings between these two were tied, and West Brom tie more games than they lose. Burnley are still the side we want.