Tenerife vs Almeria — Tips & Analysis

Tenerife +0.25: Almeria do not travel well, and that is the heart of this one. They have won just one of their seven away games and score only a goal a game on the road. Tenerife are unbeaten at home in seven, with four wins and three ties. They let in less than a goal a game there. Across their last 14 games they have not lost by 2 or more even once. Beating them clearly is a hard job for anyone in this league. Almeria are still the stronger squad on paper. They have won 7 of their last 15 and score almost 2 goals a game. They also let in more than a goal a game, and their best player, Sergio Arribas, is a doubt. The Heliodoro is a real advantage and Tenerife are close to full strength. Marc Mateu is back from a muscle injury and Anthony Landazuri is back from suspension. Both teams won their opening game, so neither has to take risks early. The last 14 meetings averaged just over 2 goals, which fits a cagey night. A 1-1 tie looks the likeliest result, and Tenerife taking a point works for us. There are two real warnings. Almeria have won the last five meetings, including 1-0 at the Heliodoro. Nine of Tenerife's last ten games before this month were third tier, so their record flatters them. We still expect Tenerife to stay with them.