Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain — Tips & Analysis

Rennes +1.25: Rennes are hard to beat by much at Roazhon Park, and that is the whole case here. They have won 5 of their last 7 home games and let in less than a goal a game there. They also beat this same team 3-1 back in February. Across their last 13 games Rennes have won 9, and they score just over 2 goals a game. They have lost by 2 or more only twice in those 13. Paris Saint Germain are the stronger team and nobody is arguing with that. They have won 12 of their last 18, score more than 2 goals a game, and let in less than a goal a game on the road. Nuno Mendes is suspended, and Barcola and Mbaye are out with transfer talk hanging over them. The rest of the squad is fit, so this is close to full strength. The last 19 meetings read 6W-3D-10L to Rennes, so they do get results in this game. A 1-2 to PSG is the most likely finish, and a narrow loss like that is what this pick is built for. There is real risk in it. PSG have won by 2 or more in 9 of their last 18 games, so a big win is well within them. Rennes have not played a competitive game in 98 days and could be rusty, with a much changed team. We still think Rennes stay close enough here.