Newcastle vs Liverpool — Tips & Analysis

Newcastle +0.75: Liverpool come to St James' Park with a patched up back line. Ekitike, Gomez and Bradley are all out, and a new face is set to start in that defence. Liverpool also win big less often than you would think. They won by 2 or more goals in only 5 of their last 18 games, and lost by 2 or more in 5 of them. Newcastle are far from perfect themselves. They have won 4, tied 2 and lost 7 of their last 13, and they let in almost 2 goals a game. What they do have is pace up front and a full house behind them. Both clubs start with a new head coach in charge for the first time. Newcastle have not played a competitive game in 91 days, so this should be loose and open rather than a controlled Liverpool win. The most likely single score is 1-2 to Liverpool. That is close, and it leaves this pick a little short, so we need Newcastle to take something from this game. Against a defence this new to each other, a point is a fair ask. The worry is history. Newcastle have won just 1 of the last 20 meetings with Liverpool, and Isak now lines up for the visitors. We still back Newcastle to stay in this one.