Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Neither of these teams can score, and this matchup has a long history of quiet games. The last 15 meetings averaged 2 goals in total, and most of them stayed under 3. Chapecoense are bottom of the league and it shows. They have won 4 of their last 18 games, and they have barely made a chance in their last three. Seven players are missing, including Victor Caetano through suspension. They are still awkward at their own ground, where they have tied 3 of their 8 games. Sao Paulo are not much better going forward. They have won 4 and tied 8 of their last 19, and their games average just over 2 goals in total. On the road they have not won any of their last 10 trips, scoring under a goal a game. Lucas Moura is out with an Achilles problem and Rafael Toloi is injured too. Sao Paulo also arrive on 4 days of rest after a midweek win over Bolivar. Chapecoense have had a full week. Tired legs and two blunt attacks point to a slow, scrappy night, and a 1-1 is our read. The warning is Chapecoense's own games. 11 of their last 18 had 3 or more goals, and they let in almost 2 a game. If Sao Paulo rotate and this opens up, it can go wrong fast. We still expect a low scoring night.