Angers vs Lille — Tips & Analysis

Lille -0.5: Lille have owned this game lately. Angers have not scored in any of the last four meetings, losing 0-1, 0-1, 0-2 and 0-2, so Lille arrive with a real hold over them. Angers are the problem for their own fans. They score under a goal a game across their last 15, winning only 3 of them and losing 8. They have not won by 2 or more goals in any of those 15 games. Belkebla is out too, and that thins a midfield that already struggled to get anyone near the box. Lille are the opposite. They won 9 of their last 15 and let in less than a goal a game. Last season on the road they were excellent, winning seven of their eight trips. Expect a controlled game rather than a wild one. The last 20 meetings averaged 2 goals in total, so Lille will likely keep the ball, take few risks and win it with one clear moment. A 0-1 to Lille is our read, and that does the job here. Two honest warnings. Lille lose Andre and Fernandez-Pardo to suspension, so a patched midfield could make this scrappier than it looks on paper. This is also the first game after 98 days off for both sides, so last season's form may not hold. We still think Lille have too much.