Toulouse vs Lyon — Tips & Analysis

Toulouse +0.25: Lyon are caught between two big European nights. They tied 1-1 at Fenerbahce on 18 August, and they host the return leg four days after this game. A first weekend trip to Toulouse is not where they will empty the tank. Their travelling football says the same. Lyon won once and tied four times in seven away games, scoring under a goal a game on the road. Toulouse are rusty rather than poor. They have not played a competitive game since 17 May, which is 97 days off, so the opening half could be scrappy. They still won 5, tied 4 and lost 8 of their last 17, and they score just over a goal a game. Recent history helps too. Toulouse have beaten Lyon 2-1 in each of the last two meetings, so there is no fear here. Toulouse do lose D. Methalie and A. Vossah to suspension, which thins an already short squad. A 1-1 is the read, and Toulouse avoiding defeat is all this pick needs. The long record is the warning. Lyon have won 15 of the last 20 games between these clubs, and man for man they are still the stronger side. We are happy to back Toulouse to hold them.