Lens vs Auxerre — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: Auxerre arrive in bad shape, and that is why we want the quieter game. They could have up to 13 players unavailable. Striker Theo Bair is suspended and Assane Diousse is out for most of the season with a torn knee ligament. Auxerre have not played a competitive game in 97 days either. Lens are strong at home without being wild. They took 8 wins, 1 tie and 1 loss from their last ten home games. They scored more than 2 a game there and let in under a goal a game. They also won by 2 or more in only 7 of their last 16 games, so they win without running up big scores. The numbers on Auxerre point the same way. Their games came in at 3 goals or fewer in 8 of their last 13, and only one of those had 5 or more goals. The 19 meetings between these two have averaged under 3 goals in total. Expect Lens to keep the ball, take their time and add a second once Auxerre tire. A 2-0 to Lens is the likely finish, and that is a comfortable spot for us. The risk is Lens themselves. Their own games are busy, with 11 of their last 16 having 3 or more goals. An early goal could pull Auxerre out and open this up. We still expect a controlled home win with the goals staying low.