Internacional vs Atletico-MG — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: These two do not put on a show. The last 20 meetings averaged just over 2 goals, and three of the last five ended 0-1, 0-0 and 0-2. Internacional have made the Beira-Rio a hard place to score. They won 5, tied 4 and lost 2 in 11 home games there, letting in under a goal a game. They score just over a goal a game themselves, so they are not built to run up a big score. Atletico-MG are cut from the same cloth. They let in a goal a game, score just over one, and their games average just over 2 goals in total. They are short handed as well, missing six players including Gustavo Scarpa. They have had only three days off after midweek football, and Internacional have had five. Tired legs and a thin bench point at a careful game. A 1-1 is the read, and that keeps the count low. Two things could break it. Internacional are without first choice goalkeeper S. Rochet and the suspended Matheus Bahia, so the back line that kept things quiet is not intact. Atletico are the better team right now, with 9 wins in their last 19 games, and an early goal would stretch this open. We still expect a tight, low scoring night.