Inter vs Monza — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: These two produce goals against each other. The last seven meetings averaged just over 3 goals in total, and the two most recent finished 2-2 and 3-2. That is the strongest reason we want the busier game here. Inter score more than 2 goals a game and went unbeaten at home, winning five of their seven there. Their own games have averaged just over 3 goals in total. The goals in this one are most likely to come from their end. Monza have scored almost 2 goals a game across their last 16. That came in the division below, so it flatters them. They are also without captain Matteo Pessina and forward Dany Mota. Their way to a goal here is a set piece or an Inter mistake, not a spell of pressure. Be straight about the risk. The single most likely finish is a controlled 2-0 to Inter, and that on its own is not enough for us. We need a third goal in this game. Inter have not played a competitive game in 91 days, and rusty openers tend to get stretched late on. Only 7 of Inter's last 15 games had 3 or more goals, so they can shut a game down when they want. We still think this one has enough in it, and we are backing the goals.