Athletic Club vs Sevilla — Tips & Analysis

Athletic Club -0.5: Sevilla have been poor on the road, and that is the main reason we are on Athletic. Sevilla won once in six away trips, scoring 1 goal a game and letting in more than 2. They have not won by 2 or more in any of their last 13 games. Kike Salas is suspended too, after his red card in the 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano. Athletic are not a side that wins big either. They won by 2 or more only once in their last 11 games. Their five home games averaged 1 goal scored and 1 let in. That suits us fine, because all this needs is Athletic getting over the line. The history says the same. The last 20 meetings averaged 2 goals in total, and Athletic come out of them with 9 wins, 3 ties and 8 losses. These games get decided by one moment at San Mames. A 1-0 to Athletic is the honest call here. The worry is rhythm. Athletic have not played a competitive game in 91 days and they start under a new coach. Sevilla played a week ago and have that in their legs. Athletic are also missing Dani Vivian and Unai Egiluz at the back, so the defence is patched up. Opening day rust is a real threat. We still think Athletic have enough to win this one.