Sirius vs BK Hacken — Tips & Analysis

Under 3.5: Hacken have run out of goals at the wrong time. They have scored four goals across their last five league games, and four players are out with another doubtful. That is one whole end of the pitch working at half speed. Sirius are the far better team right now. They have won 13 of their last 18 games, they sit top of the table, and they have not lost at home all season. They score more than 2 goals a game, so they do not need a wild night to win this one. Hacken tie more games than anyone in the top half of the table, with seven ties in their last 17. They also travel with four days of rest to Sirius's six, which points to a slower, more careful game from the visitors. The last 20 meetings between these two have averaged just over 3 goals in total. Our read is a 2-1 to Sirius, with the hosts in front and Hacken hanging on rather than trading blows. A game with three goals in it is exactly what we want. The warning is a real one. Sirius's games have averaged just over 4 goals in total this season, counting both teams, and they score plenty at home. If they add a third and Hacken pull one back late, this is gone. We still expect Sirius to control the game rather than blow the doors off.