Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.25: Shelbourne's games are rarely quiet. 14 of their last 19 have had three or more goals, and 12 of Rovers' last 19 have too. Rovers are the class team in this division. They lead by seven points on 54 from 27 games, they have won seven of ten at Tallaght, and they score more than 2 goals a game there. Shelbourne arrive on a bad run, still looking for a win in five with four defeats in that stretch. They let in more than a goal a game, and they have been giving up chances freely in their last few games. The twist is the turnaround. Rovers played a European tie against KuPS the day before this one, so they have had one day of rest to Shelbourne's eight. A heavily changed home side usually means a looser game, not a tighter one. Our read is 2-1 to Rovers, and a game with three goals in it is what we want. The caution is the history between these two. The last 20 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals. Shelbourne have also tied 8 of their last 19, so they can drag a team into a slow night. With Rovers rotating and Shelbourne needing a result, we still want the more open game.