FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Goals follow both of these teams around. 13 of JEF's last 19 games had 3 or more goals. 12 of FC Tokyo's last 18 did too, and all four recent meetings between them had at least 3 goals. JEF are the weakest side in the league. They have won 3, tied 2 and lost 14 of their last 19, and they let in 2 goals a game. Away from home it is just as bad: 1 win, 1 tie and 8 losses, and they let in 2 a game on the road. They have lost by 2 or more in 7 of their last 19. FC Tokyo are a mess in their own way. Their last five games read tie, loss, loss, tie, loss, and they lost 1-5 at home to Machida Zelvia and 1-3 to Cerezo Osaka. They still score more than a goal a game, and their games average almost 3 goals. That mix points one way. FC Tokyo should get in front, JEF have to chase, and the space opens up after the break. A 3-1 home win is the read here, and that clears this comfortably. The catch is JEF's start to the season. They have not scored in either league game, losing 4-0 and 3-0. If FC Tokyo stay flat in front of goal, a quiet 1-0 is live. We are backing goals.