Bohemians vs Derry City — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.5: Derry carry almost no threat on the road, and that is the heart of this one. They have won one of their last ten away games and they score just over a goal a game when they travel. They are also still without a permanent manager after Tiernan Lynch left on 5 August. Keeper Brian Maher, Rob Slevin and Carl Winchester are all out. Bohemians are hard to break down at Dalymount Park. They have let in exactly a goal a game across nine home games there, and they score almost 2 goals a game overall. Neither side needs a shootout to get what it wants tonight. The history backs a quiet night too. The last 20 meetings have averaged just over 2 goals in total, and only about a third of them had three or more goals. Only 9 of Derry's last 20 games have had three or more. Our read is 1-0 Bohemians, a set piece or a second half break deciding a flat Dublin game, and that suits us. The risk is that this pairing can burst into life. The last four meetings alone produced 15 goals, including a 4-1 Derry win in June and a 3-4. Bohemians have also had three or more goals in 13 of their last 20. We still want the low scoring night here.