Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves — Tips & Analysis

Over 1.75: Both back lines come into this patched up, and that is the main reason we are on goals. Rayo lose Luiz Felipe with a hamstring problem and D. Mendez with a knee injury. M. Kumbulla is doubtful with a muscle problem, so the middle of their defense is close to gone. They let in a goal a game with that back line fit, and now it has been pulled apart. Alaves have their own trouble, with F. Garces suspended and T. Mendes out with a knee injury. Their season has been busy at both ends. Alaves games produce more than 3 goals in total on average, and 10 of their last 16 had 3 or more goals in them. They opened with a 3-0 win over Getafe and they let in more than a goal a game themselves. This one is played at Butarque in Leganes, not at Rayo's own ground, so the hosts do not get their usual backing. A 1-1 is the way this looks, with both sides getting through a weakened defense. The honest warning is the history between these two. Their last 11 meetings averaged 2 goals in total, only two of them had 3 or more goals, and two of the last five finished 1-0. Rayo know how to make a game dull, but we still want both teams scoring.