Mjallby AIF vs Red Bull Salzburg — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both teams keep turning up in games with goals in them. Salzburg's games have just over 3 goals in them on average, counting both sides. Mjallby's games have 3. That is the shape we are backing. Mjallby are the reigning Swedish champions, but this season they have won only three of their eight games at Strandvallen. They score more than a goal a game. They also let in more than a goal a game. 9 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals in them. Their form is poor right now, with one win in their last five. Slovan Bratislava beat them at home to knock them out of the Champions League. Salzburg are the better side. They score just over 2 goals a game, and 8 of their last 13 games had 3 or more goals. They let in more than a goal a game too, so Mjallby should get chances of their own. That points to an open game. Salzburg control the big moments and win by the odd goal, with Mjallby scoring in front of their own crowd. A 1-2 is the most likely score, and that does not leave much room to spare. The warning here is real. This is the first game of a two legged tie, with the return in Austria, so Salzburg may be happy to sit on a lead. Only 4 of Mjallby's 16 games have gone past three goals. We still want the goals in this one.