FK Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen — Tips & Analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda -0.5: Zvezda have been rolling at the Marakana and they should have too much for a loose Plzen side. Their recent home run reads 5-0 against Larne, 5-0 against Macva and 3-1 against Vojvodina, with a 4-0 win away at Larne alongside it. They have won 7 of their last 13 games, score just over 2 goals a game and let in less than one. They are fresh as well, with nine days since their last game to Plzen's five. Plzen are playing the wildest football in this tie. Their last four league games finished 3-2, 5-5, 1-1 and 1-3. Away from home they score more than a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game too. That is a team who will hand Zvezda chances rather than shut the game down. Expect the hosts to be on top for long spells, with the visitors getting on the scoresheet at some point. A 2-1 home win is the likeliest score, and that is a winning night for this pick. Two warnings before you back it. Zvezda's big scores came against Larne and Macva, and Plzen are a clear level up from those two. Their last real test ended without a goal in either game against Hapoel Beer Sheva, losing 0-1 and 0-2. We are still with the home side to come out in front.