Benfica vs Aarhus — Tips & Analysis

Over 3.5: Benfica have been taking teams apart at their own ground, and that is why we are on goals here. They beat St. Gallen 5-0 and Hearts 6-1 in this qualifying run, then put seven past Casa Pia on 17 August. They score almost 3 goals a game and 14 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals in them. They also leave the back door open. Benfica let in a goal a game at their own ground and were tied 2-2 by Academico Viseu there on 9 August. Aarhus are not built to sit in a hole for 90 minutes either. They won 3-0 in Poznan this summer and they score more than a goal a game. 10 of their last 16 games had 3 or more goals in them. They are missing four players, including Fredrik Tingager, so keeping Benfica out for a full night looks beyond them. A 3-1 to Benfica is the way this looks, a clear first leg lead with Aarhus getting on the board to keep the return game alive. The risk is Benfica easing off. They played a full league game three days ago and have the second leg on 27 August. Changes are likely, and a comfortable lead can slow a game down. We still want the busy game.