Cardiff vs Wrexham — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Wrexham are not scoring, and that is the strongest reason to expect a quiet opening night. They did not score in three of their last four games. They are also without Josh Windass, last season's top scorer, through injury. Their away record reads 3 wins, 1 tie and 5 losses, with under a goal a game scored on the road. Cardiff look frightening on paper. They score just over 2 goals a game and have won 8 of their last 16. Those goals came in League One, though, against Northampton, Port Vale and Mansfield, a full division below Wrexham. At their own ground Cardiff were tidier than explosive. They won 5, tied 1 and lost 2 there, scoring almost 2 goals a game and letting in a goal a game. This is opening night and Cardiff's first game back in the Championship. Both sides will be nervous, and Wrexham are missing their main source of goals. A 1-0 to Cardiff is the likeliest finish, and one goal deciding it fits what both teams have been doing. The risk is that neither of these sides is reliably low scoring. Cardiff had 3 goals or more in 8 of their last 16 games, and Wrexham in 10 of their last 18. If Cardiff go ahead early, Wrexham have to come out and chase. We still want the tighter game.