Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Tips & Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps -0.25: Vancouver are the better team in this one, and they meet a Seattle side in free fall. The Sounders have lost their last five league games and have slipped to ninth in the Western Conference. Seattle are also missing four players through injury, including forward J. Morris. Across their last 20 games they score just over a goal and let in more than a goal a game. Vancouver sit top of the Western Conference. They score almost 2 goals a game and let in just over one. They have won by 2 or more goals in 6 of their last 20 games, and lost by that much only once. The worry is that both teams arrive out of sorts. Vancouver have not won in five. Seattle are a different side at Lumen Field. They are 6W-1D-3L there and score 2 goals a game, against under a goal a game on the road. Seattle have also won 10 of the last 20 meetings between these two, to Vancouver's 4. The most likely single score is 1-1, and a tie is not enough for us. This pick needs Vancouver to win the game. Their road record is tie heavy at 2W-5D-3L in ten trips, so another even game is a real danger. We still think the stronger side finds a way through.