New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union — Tips & Analysis

Under 3: These two keep playing the same game. Their last four meetings finished 2-1, 1-0, 0-1 and 1-0, so none of them produced more than three goals. New York City come in with seven players ruled out. Their leading forward Martinez and Moralez are both out with knee problems, and Mercau is suspended on top of that. That takes most of the creativity out of a side who have won only 3, tied 3 and lost 4 at home this season. Philadelphia are the fitter team, with two doubts and three wins in their last five. The road is the worst part of their year though. They have one win in ten away from home. They have won 5, tied 5 and lost 10 of their last 20 games and they score more than a goal a game. Both teams played in midweek and have had three days off. Tired legs and a patched up home attack make for a slow night. A 1-1 is our read, and that leaves this pick plenty of room. The risk is Philadelphia's away defence. They have let in more than 2 goals a game on the road, so one loose spell can flip the whole thing. New York City have also had 3 or more goals in 11 of their last 20 games. We still want the quiet game.