Liverpool vs Como — Tips & Analysis

Over 3: These two clubs play each other twice on the same day, six hours apart, so each game gets about half a squad. Neither manager will keep the same eleven on the pitch for 90 minutes, and that is the main reason we want goals here. Liverpool have let in more than a goal a game across their last 19, and 11 of those games had 3 or more goals in them. They lost 4-2 at home to Leeds two weeks ago. They are also without Joe Gomez, Giovanni Leoni, Hugo Ekitike, Conor Bradley and Jayden Danns. Como arrive playing well, with 11 wins from their last 18 and four wins in their last five. They score almost 2 goals a game and report no injury worries. Games involving Liverpool have just over 3 goals in them on average, counting both teams. 10 of Como's last 18 games also had 3 or more. A 2-2 is our read, and an open, loose game with chances at both ends gets there with room to spare. The risk is the nature of the night. This is a friendly, so team selection and effort are hard to call, and either manager can empty the bench and kill the tempo. Como's away defence has been the tightest part of their season, letting in a goal a game on the road. We still want the busier game.