Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Wolfsburg's away games are open, and that is the heart of this pick. On the road they score more than a goal a game and let in more than 2 a game, far looser than at home. They have won just 2 of their last 16 games, and they arrive freshly relegated. Their injury list still includes Christian Eriksen and Rogerio. Hannover are the livelier team going forward. They score almost 2 goals a game, and their games have just over 3 goals in them on average. 9 of their last 16 produced 3 or more. They lost 1-3 at Cottbus on the opening day, and all three goals came from a penalty, a free kick and a corner. The goals are there even on their bad days. These two also have a history of open games. The last 20 meetings have averaged just over 3 goals. A 2-1 home win is the honest read, and the third goal is what this rides on. The warning is Hannover's home habit. They tied five of their eight home games, and a tight, low scoring game is always in play here. Wolfsburg tied 6 of their last 16 as well, so both sides know how to keep a game flat. We still lean to the busier game.