Genoa vs Ascoli — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: Genoa do not score enough for this game to get busy. They scored under a goal a game last season, and they did not score at all in 6 of their last 10. That run includes 0-0 ties at Fiorentina and Atalanta. Only 6 of their last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them, and their games produce just over 2 goals in total. Ascoli are built the same way at the other end. They have just come up from the third tier. They lost only 2 of their last 17 games, and they let in under a goal a game on the road. Then there is the timing. Genoa have not played a competitive game in 84 days, five of their players missed training this week, and their World Cup men are only just back. Rusty sides in August rarely trade chances early, and neither team has to chase a big win to go through. A 1-0 Genoa win is the read here, and that sits well inside what we want. Ascoli are the risk. They played 8 days ago and beat Potenza 3-1 to get here, so they are further along than Genoa and playing well. 10 of their last 17 games had 3 or more goals in them, so they are not a quiet side by nature. We still expect a low scoring night at the Ferraris.