Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both of these teams play in busy games. Darmstadt's games have just over 3 goals in them on average, and Dresden's are close behind at almost 3. Nine of Dresden's last 14 games had 3 or more goals, and 9 of Darmstadt's last 15 did too. Dresden are strong at home, with 5 wins from 7, and they score just over 2 goals a game there. They lost 0-3 at Nurnberg a week ago, but that read far worse than it played. Darmstadt help the case at the other end. They have not won away in seven trips and they let in 2 goals a game on the road. Their opening game finished 2-2, and they took those two goals from very little. That is a team that keeps games alive without ever shutting them down. The last 12 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals. A 2-1 Dresden win is the honest read, and it turns on that third goal. The one number against us is Dresden's home defense. They let in under a goal a game at the Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, so a 1-0 or 2-0 would not be a shock. Darmstadt have also tied three of their last five games, and their run has been slow and careful. We still want the busier game.