Corinthians vs Cruzeiro — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.25: Corinthians have nobody to play up front. Yuri Alberto, Vitinho, Kayke, Labyad and Andre are all out, and Pedro Raul has a rib problem, so Fernando Diniz has no fit senior centre forward. A team in that state does not suddenly start scoring goals. Corinthians were careful anyway. They let in under a goal a game at their own ground, where they have won 7 of 9. Only 6 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals in them. Their games have just over 2 goals in them on average, counting both teams. Cruzeiro are built the same way. They have not lost away all season, 4 wins and 4 ties, and they let in under a goal a game on those trips. Only 6 of their last 18 games had 3 or more goals as well, and their matches have 2 goals in them on average. Corinthians also played in Argentina two days ago, a 0-0 at Rosario Central, with the second leg still to come. Two of the hardest teams in the division to score against meet here, and one of them has no striker. That points to 0-0, and that is our read. The warning is that these clubs have produced a 0-3 and a 1-2 in their last five meetings. Heavy changes for the return leg could open this up too. We still expect a quiet night.