Burnley vs West Ham — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: Burnley cannot keep the ball out, and West Ham still have a Premier League forward line. That is the case for goals here. Burnley have not won any of their last 14 games. They let in almost 2 goals a game in that run, and they lost by 2 or more in 5 of them. Nicky Hayen is a new head coach with a much younger squad, and opening day under a new manager is rarely tidy at the back. West Ham kept Nuno Espirito Santo and most of their top flight players. Hermansen, Kilman, Ward Prowse, Bowen and Castellanos are all expected to start, with Manor Solomon added from Tottenham. West Ham have had 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 16 games. The recent meetings point the same way. The last five finished 0-2, 2-3, 2-2, 1-2 and 1-1, with West Ham unbeaten across the run. A 1-2 West Ham win is the read, and that is exactly the sort of game we are after. There are two real worries. Burnley score under a goal a game and have tied 5 of their last 14, so a 1-1 or a 1-0 is very much in play. Almost every number above comes from last season in the Premier League, with only a League Cup tie apiece since. Neither club has kicked a ball in the Championship yet. We are still backing the goals.