Parma vs Catania — Tips & Analysis

Catania +1.5: Parma have not won by 2 or more goals in any of their last 15 games. That is the heart of this pick. They score under a goal a game, and their matches average almost 2 goals in total. Parma also come in cold, with no competitive game since May, and they are set to make heavy changes. Pellegrino has gone, Corvi starts in goal, and Toure or Elphege lead the line. Catania are built to keep games tight. They tied 10 of their last 20 and lost by 2 or more only 3 times in that run. They score under a goal a game on their travels, across 11 away trips. What they do is defend and keep the score down. Catania are further along too, with a game 6 days ago behind them. The last 8 meetings between these clubs have produced 4 ties and only 1 Parma win. A 1-0 to Parma is the likely finish, and a one goal loss is what this pick wants. The risk is that Parma name a stronger side than the reported one. Their team is not confirmed, and a full strength Serie A side would widen the gap. Catania's record was also made in Serie C, so the real difference in quality is bigger than their numbers look. Even so, Parma's blunt attack and Catania's habit of tying games keep us with the away side.