Monza vs Avellino — Tips & Analysis

Monza -0.75: Monza have the better players and they should show it. Juric is expected to start Colpani, Cutrone and Varela together in attack, and Avellino have nothing to match that. Monza have won 8 of their last 16, they score almost 2 goals a game, and they won by 2 or more in 6 of those 16. At their own ground last season they took 5 wins from 8 and let in under a goal a game. Avellino are the opposite sort of team. They managed only two wins from eight on the road last season and scored under a goal a game doing it. They have also lost by 2 or more in 4 of their last 16, so the margin can run away from them. Avellino are without Marco Sala. Monza will miss captain Matteo Pessina, who hurt his knee in training. A controlled 2-0 home win is the shape we expect, with Monza ahead early and Avellino short of the quality to answer. The care point is that this is the first competitive game of the season for both sides, after 77 and 94 days without one. Rust and heavy rotation are real in a Round of 64 tie, and Avellino keep games tight when they are organised. We are still with Monza to handle this one.