Marseille vs Atletico Madrid — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.75: Both these teams play in busy games, and that is the whole case here. Marseille's matches averaged 3 goals a game last season, and 11 of their last 17 had 3 or more. Atletico were much the same, with just over 3 goals a game and 3 or more in 10 of their last 17. At home, Marseille were 5 wins, 3 ties and 1 loss, scoring just over 2 goals a game. Atletico travelled badly, letting in 2 goals a game on the road and ending the season with a 1-5 loss at Villarreal. They were giving up chances too, not just unlucky in front of goal. This is the last pre season game for both clubs before their leagues start, played at the Velodrome. Games like that tend to be open, with tired legs, new faces and back lines that are still finding each other. Their one previous meeting produced 3 goals. A 2-1 to Marseille is the likely shape, and three goals puts us on the right side. The honest risk is the kind of game it is. Both managers may empty the bench at the break, and both start their league seasons within days. That can mean protected starters and a careful, quiet 90 minutes. We will take that chance, because everything both clubs have done lately points to goals.