Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli — Tips & Analysis

Over 2.5: This game brings goals. The last 18 meetings between these clubs averaged just over 3 goals, and each of the last five produced at least three. Kiel are busy at both ends. They score more than a goal a game and let in more than a goal a game. They also had 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 13 games. At Darmstadt on opening weekend they scored twice and let in twice. St. Pauli's numbers look poor at first glance. They score under a goal a game, but that record was built in the Bundesliga against Bayern, Leipzig and Freiburg. In their first game in this division they had 58% of the ball and tied 1-1 with Fürth, making more chances than the score showed. Neither back line here looks reliable. St. Pauli have lost by 2 or more goals in 5 of their last 14 games, so they hand out chances. A 2-1 win for Kiel looks the most likely score, and that gets us home. The catch is the St. Pauli attack. They have not scored more than once in any of their last ten games. If they go quiet again, this can end 1-0 or 2-0 to Kiel. We still want the open, busy game here.