Cagliari vs Arezzo — Tips & Analysis

Under 2.75: This one should be short of goals, and Cagliari are the main reason why. They score a goal a game, and at the Unipol Domus that only rises to just over one. This is also their first competitive game since May, and they will change the team for a Round of 64 tie. Sides that rusty rarely turn a cup tie into a high scoring game. Arezzo defend well and travel well. They let in under a goal a game on the road and beat Union Brescia 2-0 in the last round. Only 6 of Arezzo's last 15 games had 3 or more goals in them. They come in on 5 days rest and should be organised from the first whistle. There is no history between these clubs to lean on, but the shape of the game is clear enough. Cagliari are the better team and should get through, most likely by 2-0. That is a quiet night with the goals kept low, which is what we want. The risk is that the gap in level shows early. Arezzo were beaten 2-5 by Vicenza the moment they stepped up last season. Cagliari have had 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 16 games, so they are not always this quiet. One early goal can open a tie like this up. We still expect a slow, low scoring night here.